GOP strategist: Trump made a ‘$100M mistake’ backing Paxton
GOP strategist Brad Todd on Sunday said President Trump made a “100-million-dollar mistake” by backing Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) to replace incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas). “I think …
GOP strategist Brad Todd on Sunday said President Trump made a “100-million-dollar mistake” by backing Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) to replac
Read Full Story at The Hill →Why This Matters
The stakes of this endorsement go far beyond Texas politics, signaling a potential fissure in the GOP's ability to unite behind unified messaging ahead of critical midterm elections. A misstep of this magnitude—financial and strategic—could embolden intraparty challengers to question Trump's electoral acumen in other high-profile races, reshaping the power dynamics of the conservative movement.
Background Context
Texas' 2020 Senate primary saw a record-breaking $100 million spent by candidates vying for Cornyn's open seat, with much of it flowing from outside groups aligned with Trump's faction. Paxton, already embattled over ethics investigations and a federal indictment, represented a gamble that could either consolidate or fracture the state's conservative base, which has historically prioritized institutional loyalty over populist insurgency.
What Happens Next
If Paxton underperforms in early voting, Trump may face pressure to pivot toward a more electable candidate, potentially reigniting debates over his influence in down-ballot races. The outcome could also force the RNC to reassess its 2024 strategy in red states, particularly if Paxton's legal troubles overshadow the party's broader messaging.
Bigger Picture
This incident reflects a growing trend where Trump's endorsements increasingly clash with establishment Republican priorities, creating unpredictable ripple effects in state-level contests. As legal and financial risks mount for candidates tied to the former president, the GOP may soon confront a reckoning over whether Trump's brand of politics remains a net asset or a liability in competitive races.
