Who calls the shots? Trump tries to rein in Netanyahu, salvage Iran deal
He believed those who insisted he could wrap it all up by end of March, long before the November midterms. If not, the off-ramp would be easy to find. But did Donald Trump factor in that his main all…
He believed those who insisted he could wrap it all up by end of March, long before the November midterms. If not, the off-ramp would be easy to find.
Read Full Story at France 24 →Why This Matters
This power struggle between Trump and Netanyahu over Iran policy isn’t just about diplomacy—it’s a test of whether Trump’s transactional approach to foreign relations can outmaneuver entrenched allies. The outcome could redefine America’s role in the Middle East, shifting alliances and reshaping nuclear deterrence calculations for years to come.
Background Context
Trump’s obsession with undoing Obama’s Iran deal—negotiated in 2015—has long been personal, not just political. Netanyahu, meanwhile, has spent years positioning himself as the sole leader willing to confront Tehran, even as Israel’s military and intelligence apparatus increasingly operates independently of U.S. coordination. The tension reflects a deeper erosion of trust where mutual interests no longer guarantee alignment.
What Happens Next
If Trump pushes too hard to revive the deal, Netanyahu may retaliate by accelerating covert strikes on Iranian proxies or even Iranian soil—actions that could drag the U.S. into a wider conflict. Alternatively, a prolonged standoff risks emboldening Iran to accelerate its uranium enrichment, forcing Trump into a corner where his only options are military escalation or a humiliating retreat.
Bigger Picture
This clash is a microcosm of a post-hegemonic Middle East, where traditional power brokers like the U.S. struggle to dictate terms amid rising regional players. It also signals a broader shift in American foreign policy: the era of sweeping diplomatic gambits is giving way to ad-hoc, leader-driven interventions that prioritize short-term wins over long-term stability.
